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Use cumulative production as observations #266

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wouterjdb opened this issue Nov 26, 2020 · 1 comment · Fixed by #284
Closed

Use cumulative production as observations #266

wouterjdb opened this issue Nov 26, 2020 · 1 comment · Fixed by #284
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@wouterjdb
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Currently we see that the cumulative production is always off. Could it help steering the model in the right direction by condition the model to cumulative "observations" as well?

@wouterjdb wouterjdb added the enhancement New feature or request label Nov 26, 2020
@wouterjdb wouterjdb added question Further information is requested and removed enhancement New feature or request labels Nov 26, 2020
@olwijn
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olwijn commented Dec 4, 2020

Cumulative rates (Eclipse keywords WOPT, WWPT and WGPT) were added as possible observation types. A first test using only WOPT data at the final time with a 10% relative error standard deviation suggests that this might help to move the ensemble in the right direction, perhaps as a first step that could be followed by further fine tuning. The following figure is an example showing WOPR for 1 production well after 4 iterations with equal weights and an initial ensemble size of 240 (some members failed during the process):
image
Next test: add WWP and WGPT at the final time, and use smaller errors.

@olwijn olwijn mentioned this issue Dec 7, 2020
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